(Insert Hilarious There Will Be Blood Pun and/or Quote Here)

[Best Picture] What Will Win: No Country for Old Men - it's taken mostly all previous Best Picture awards, with the only exception being the biggest precursor award - the Golden Globe. However, the Golden Globe Drama winner hasn't matched up with the Best Picture Oscar since 2003's Lord of the Borings sweepfest. Let's just hope Atonement doesn't come from behind and make me cry like I did when Crash won in 2005. What Should Win: Most of our writers are tending to agree that No Country for Old Men will rightfully take the big honor home, even though in our Top Ten list, There Will Be Blood beat it out. Qualler reflects by explaining, "The more I think about it, the more perfect, consice, and profound No Country was. Although Blood was amazing, at the end of the day it didn't haunt me as much as NC did." It seems Lady Amy and I are the only ones holding out hope that Blood surprises everyone and gets its due for having a more deeply textured and emotional final act than No Country.

[Best Actor] Who Will Win: I've never seen what was so special about Daniel Day-Lewis until I saw There Will Be Blood. Without a doubt, and the tally of the Blogulator writers hopefully can confirm this, people will remember this character more than any other from the cinema of 2007. Lady Amy gives the smarmy power of the way-more Hollywood George Clooney the benefit of the doubt, however, and is predicting an upset. Who Should Win: I believe both Sean and DoktorPeace validate my point (also echoed by this post's subject line) by using only quotes from Daniel Plainview to back up their reasoning for why Day-Lewis should win ("DRAAAAAAIIIIIIIIINAGE!" and ""I'm an oil man, and this is my son HW," respectively). It's too bad the milkshake quote is already uncool for quoting - who knew an early 19th century oil baron would be the new Borat? Ooh but Viggo Mortenson really hasn't gotten enough love for Eastern Promises, thanks for pointing that out too Doktor (though he seems to be only excited about seeing Viggo's nether regions).
[Best Actress] Who Will Win: It's a split vote between either Julie Christie for Away From Her, playing an Alzheimer's patient, or Cate Blanchett for Elizabeth 2: Electric Boogaloo. Regardless, Sean is completely correct in eloquently saying the winner will most assuredly be, "Some old lady." For the record, Away From Her was actually a pretty good (albeit a big bummer) movie, that should probably only be watched if you're totally okay with being depressed for a couple hours. Who Should Win: Blogulator contributors seem to be reluctant in saying it, because honestly none of the nominees are anything to drop your pants over, but most of us really dug Ellen Page in Juno (this writer will keep his comments to himself), despite the fact that it's annoying when young people win awards over people who have been acting for year and years.

[Best Supporting Actor and Actress] Who Will Win: No one is spending any time contemplating whether anyone will touch Javier Bardem, probably for fear of getting eaten by his scary face and haircut. The supporting actress category is a little tougher, but we're thinking it'll either go to Amy Ryan or Cate Blanchett (the Boys Don't Cry syndrome). What's worse than the cross-dressing attraction though, is what Lady Amy and Brigitte are fearful of, as Brigitte explains why Saorsie Ronan might walk away with it: "because the academy loves showing actors that even a little child can do their job, and do it well enough to win the most prestigious of awards." Who Should Win: No one has nor ever will play so crazy that he must be sane like Tom Wilkinson; too bad it won't happen. I'm still working on getting the rest of the Blogulator crew on seeing Gone Baby Gone so they'll jump on the Amy Ryan bandwagon with me (those "The Wire" fans will surely crossover), but for now, they would be totally fine with Cate Blanchett getting the prize for her work in a very unconventional movie, as far as the Oscars are concerned anyway.
[Best Original and Adapted Screenplay] Who Will Win: The only categories where we are all in full agreement - former Minnesotan Diablo Cody will make an edgy and/or quirky comment when she wins for her Juno script and the Coen Bros. will humbly walk away with the statue for their adaptation of Cormac McCarthy's No Country. Though I'm feeling more Atonement butterflies in my gut and worrying that might sneak up up and away. Who Should Win: Qualler sums it up best, even if he does like Juno, by saying, "I didn't find Juno's dialogue as gaggifying as most of the blog-world currently does, but I do think Tony Gilroy's smart script for Michael Clayton (save for the Grisham-like conclusion) does slightly out-do Diablo Cody's coming of age story that seemed to make less sense as it got closer to the finish." And with the exception of me loving those Blood quotables, everyone else is rooting for the Coen Bros. as well, and they'll get it (and I'll celebrate too - those choreographed sequences in between the bits of dialogue were written flawlessly).

P.S. Still counting down those best songs of 2007 here...
Whoa whoa whoa. More deeply textured and emotional? Explain.
Also, it's not a surprise Monday morning! It's a LIVE BLOG that you can read by UPDATING YOUR BROWSER while it HAPPENS! LIVE! Like nobody else in the entire internet is doing! EVER!
a live blog? i'm offended.
All right, I changed the announcement on the bottom...I didn't know it was going to be a real liveblog, rather than a minute-by-minute recap of the event posted at the end - how ambitious!
Also, I didn't say that overall Blood was more deeply textured and emotional, I said its final act was. Blood, I believe, went the harder route by bringing every loose end together in a denouement that practiced both restraint and bombast, unlike No Country, which only focused on restraint. Plus No Country's lack of resolution, while I loved it in its own way, didn't hit me in the many different ways that Blood's ending did (which is ironic, since it was more open to interpretation, but Blood's concluding events had more weight around them).
Well put, Chris. Though, I loved both movies a lot and the MN mom part of me hopes that it's a tie and they each take home the same number of trophies so they/we don't fight about it when we/they get home.
Also, until this blog post I totally forgot that we watched Away From Her - probably because I wasn't in the mood to be depressed for two hours and thus didn't pay attention.
Well if you ask me, the point of Away From Her is not just to make you depressed; it was trying to show how hard it is to have a loved one suffering from Alzheimer's, which a lot of people may not fully realize. I think it was one of the most important films of the year, and I hope it doesn't get brushed aside as "that really sad movie". I hope Julie Christie wins it! And I hope George Bush watches it and realizes how dumb he is on the whole stem cell issue.
Not to drag this into politics, but gw really doesnt have anything to do with stem cell research anymore, seeing as how researchers are now able to take adult cells and turn them into stem cells -- even if you dont agree with those who take issue with embryonic stem cell research, you have to admit that these recent developments have far fewer ethical problems than traditional stem cell research (we're not just talking right to life here, we are talking about gene patents and copyrights, as well as organ donations, and even general human rights)
More importantly, when you talk to ACTUAL researchers, and not project leaders hunting for grants, you'll find that we are not actually on the cusp of solving all of our genetics woes because of stem cells
Also, if you talk to researchers you'll find that you ARE on the cusp of killing this conversation.
whoooooooaa....
cross dressing syndrome?? you didn't even see I'm Not There! Yikes! Cate B. did a great job...not because she dressed like a boy.
whoa.
I thought I had posted this comment earlier but it didn't show up for some reason. Regardless...(in response to Chris)
Your assertation that I was assuming you meant the whole movie and not the final act is incorrect -- I was asking you to describe what you meant about more emotional and deeply textured. As a blog post that was ostensibly a "group conclusion", it is difficult for me to accept that you can make blanket statements like that as if they are fact and not opinion. That being said, I personally felt that the ambiguous ending to NC was more emotional and deeply textured, because it made me feel crappy about human nature. Blood made me feel angry about Plainview's personal parental abandonment, but to me it is easier to pull off a conclusion that ties in closer with personal breakdowns than the nature of human behavior.
That's not to say I didn't love both movies -- in fact, I am much more likely to buy Blood on DVD (and in that case my opinion might be swayed on a re-watch of both movies) -- but I do think that NC pulled off its thesis in a more concise, effective way.
Wow, how Siskel and Ebert of us to argue about two art-house films.
Films don't have a thesis, man. they just exist..
in a male-gaze-dominated-post-marxist-teleological framework purported to serve the socio-economic interests of the plebeian masses vis-a-vis americans.
i had to look up half of those words.
who's seeing that be kind rewind movie this weekend?
Hahaha, films just exist -- who are you, Brett Ratner?
hilariousjokes.com/snob_ref.html
I'd like to see BKR
It's so contentious today! I didn't like either movie, "There Will Be Blood," because it had slower pacing than an episode of "Little House on the Prairie," and "NCFOM" because I'm an opponent of (me) seeing violence in films, even when it's emotionless. If the Academy Awards were for best movies for me personally, Best Picture would go to "Once."
If I may momentarily interject a quick response to Paal, let me just say that not being on the cusp of a discovery is a terrible reason not to search for a solution. Otherwise, researchers AND engineers would be unemployed.
And I think it's incorrect for you, Qualler, to assume I was making a blanket statement. I use "Lady Amy and I" as the subjects in the claim about Blood right in the beginning of the sentence, so I don't see why you'd think I was trying to talk for the whole Blogulator, especially when I also made it pretty clear most of you guys want No Country to win...
But I do appreciate your point about NC focusing on human nature as a whole while Blood is more about a singular character (at least in Anderson's eyes, while many others like to see him as a symbol for America)...
But yes, nerd fight over and out.
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